Sport Picks
Penybont vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend 
Kamphendelser
19'
19'
Venables C.
49'
49'
Walker T.
50'
50'
Charsley H.
Kampsammendrag
The Cymru Premier game between Penybont and Caernarfon finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penybont.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Penybont
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
- Model gives Penybont a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 63%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Penybont Rent bur 10%
Caernarfon Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Penybont | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 16 | 17 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 3 |
| Tap | 9 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.97 | 1.52 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.88 | 2.06 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
6. nov. 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Caernarfon
2:0
7. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Penybont
1:2
18. apr. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Penybont
2:0
24. jan. 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Caernarfon
0:0
25. okt. 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Caernarfon
0:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Penybont Sammenlign
Toppscorer Venables C.
1 Mål Assister Walker T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94
Caernarfon Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.87
Snitt xA / kamp 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Penybont 83 / 100
Caernarfon 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Penybont Caernarfon
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Penybont Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Penybont scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Caernarfon let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Penybont remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Penybont VS Caernarfon
2.75 Mål scoret 3.13
1 Mål sluppet inn 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Penybont
(Home) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
31 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 Penybont
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3 Penybont
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Caernarfon
(Away) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
30 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 2 Caernarfon
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 7
06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
30 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 2 Caernarfon
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2 Caernarfon
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 54:6 | 44 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 34:9 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:18 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34:24 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 42:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:29 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:41 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 12:23 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:43 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:38 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16:52 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
