Sport Picks
Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup Bryntirion Park, Bridgend 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Penybont have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Cardiff Draconians's 1.57 scored and 1.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.25, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Penybont
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Penybont carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Penybont a 90% chance of winning this.
- Penybont have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Penybont Rent bur 19%
Cardiff Draconians Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Penybont | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 15 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 5 |
| Tap | 9 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.04 | 1.79 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Penybont 85 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Penybont Cardiff Draconians
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Penybont Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Cardiff Draconians has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Penybont found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Penybont has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Cardiff Draconians's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Måltrender
Penybont VS Cardiff Draconians
2.25 Mål scoret 1.5
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Penybont
(Home) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
31 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 Penybont
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3 Penybont
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Draconians
(Away) 07 Nov
Pure Swansea
2 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0 Afan Lido
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3 Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Pure Swansea
2 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3 Cardiff Draconians
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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