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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA
lør. 7. nov. 2026
VS
09:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Toronto FC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Philadelphia Union have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.03. Past meetings favor Philadelphia Union slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 22. apr. 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (2.69 - 1.44) back Philadelphia Union to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Philadelphia Union
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Toronto FC
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Philadelphia Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 81%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 81%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 80.2%
Philadelphia Union Rent bur 16%
Toronto FC Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Philadelphia Union Toronto FC
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 13 7
Uavgjort 8 11
Tap 8 11
Mål Scoret 2.03 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 2
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.69 1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. apr. 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union
3:3
9. aug. 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
1:1
28. mai 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union
1:2
13. juli 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:1
29. mai 2024 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 30 / 100
Toronto FC 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Philadelphia Union Toronto FC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Toronto FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Philadelphia Union's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Philadelphia Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Philadelphia Union VS Toronto FC
3.25 Mål scoret 1.5
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
31 Oct
FC Cincinnati
1 : 0
Philadelphia Union
29 Oct
Nashville SC
0 : 0
Philadelphia Union
24 Oct
Philadelphia Union
1 : 2
New England Revolution
17 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Charlotte FC
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 6

Toronto FC

(Away)
01 Nov
Atlanta United
3 : 1
Toronto FC
28 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
DC United
24 Oct
Columbus Crew
4 : 2
Toronto FC
17 Oct
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Toronto FC
14 Oct
Toronto FC
3 : 3
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)