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Police vs Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Kiira Road Police Arena, Kampala
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Police host Villa in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Police have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Villa's 1.52 scored and 0.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Police have won 1 to Villa's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 10. mars 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.06) back Villa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Police
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Villa
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Villa have won more games recently than Police.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66.6%
Police Rent bur 20%
Villa Rent bur 19%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Police Villa
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 12 18
Uavgjort 7 6
Tap 9 5
Mål Scoret 1.25 1.52
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 0.48
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.75 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. mars 2026 Premier League
Police vs Villa
1:0
24. okt. 2025 Premier League
Villa vs Police
2:1
11. mai 2025 Premier League
Police vs Villa
1:3
13. des. 2024 Premier League
Villa vs Police
1:1
2. mai 2022 Premier League
Police vs Villa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Police 32 / 100
Villa 31 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Police Villa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Villa Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Police found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.

Måltrender

Police VS Villa
0.75 Mål scoret 1.63
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
10 Sept
Police
0 : 0
UPDF FC
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Police
1 : 0
Mbarara City
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
Page 1 of 6

Villa

(Away)
15 Sept
Villa
3 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
09 Sept
Villa
2 : 0
Express FC
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)