Sport Picks
Progreso vs Defensor Sp. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo 
Kamphendelser
4'
4'
Cafaro L.
28'
28'
Rodriguez G.
41'
41'
Sorondo F.
Kampsammendrag
Defensor Sp. in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor Sp..
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
40%
33%
27%
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Progreso
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
70%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Progreso have won more games recently than Defensor Sp..
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Progreso taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 30.8%
Progreso Rent bur 68%
Defensor Sp. Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Progreso | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 10 |
| Tap | 19 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.34 | 1.37 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. nov. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Defensor Sp.
0:2
27. apr. 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Progreso
1:0
12. jan. 2026 Copa de la Liga AUF
Defensor Sp. vs Progreso
0:1
19. okt. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Defensor Sp.
2:3
20. apr. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Progreso
1:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Progreso Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72
Defensor Sp. Sammenlign
Toppscorer Cuello E.
1 Mål Assister Wunsch N.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Progreso 50 / 100
Defensor Sp. 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Progreso Defensor Sp.
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Progreso Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensor Sp. let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Progreso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Defensor Sp. registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Progreso VS Defensor Sp.
1.38 Mål scoret 1.13
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Progreso
(Home) 01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1 Progreso
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0 Juventud
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Progreso
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0 Juventud
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1 Racing Montevideo
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
Defensor Sp.
(Away) 01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
24 Oct
Defensor Sp.
3 : 3 Racing Montevideo
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 Defensor Sp.
10 Oct
Defensor Sp.
2 : 3 CA Cerro
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
17 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 Defensor Sp.
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
