Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

3' Event
Vera D.
90' Event
Lopez I.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Progreso
30%
Uavgjort
34%
River Plate Montevideo
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Progreso

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to River Plate Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
  • Progreso are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • River Plate Montevideo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progreso, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 34%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.6%
Progreso Rent bur 18%
River Plate Montevideo Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Progreso River Plate Montevideo
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 6 11
Uavgjort 4 7
Tap 18 10
Mål Scoret 0.75 1.46
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.39 1.36
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.69 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. aug. 2026 Copa Uruguay
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
0:2
14. sep. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso
0:0
23. mars 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
2:1
19. okt. 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
2:0
9. juni 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Progreso Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.53
Snitt xA / kamp 0.34

River Plate Montevideo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Vera D.
1 Mål
Assister Lopez I.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.19
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Progreso 36 / 100
River Plate Montevideo 35 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Progreso River Plate Montevideo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

River Plate Montevideo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Progreso scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Progreso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Progreso VS River Plate Montevideo
0.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Progreso

(Home)
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0
Danubio
26 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
23 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

River Plate Montevideo

(Away)
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
03 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
2 : 3
Club Nacional
30 Aug
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 0
Rentistas
26 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
22 Aug
Paysandu FC
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Montevideo City 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Danubio 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Atenas 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Defensor Sp. 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Rentistas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Cerro Largo 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 CA Cerro 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Wanderers 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
4 Cerrito 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Racing Montevideo 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
3 Juventud 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Albion 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 River Plate Montevideo 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Progreso 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Liverpool M. 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
3 Fenix 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Colon 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)