Sport Picks
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 
Kamphendelser
3'
3'
Vera D.
90'
90'
Lopez I.
Kampsammendrag
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
30%
39%
31%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to River Plate Montevideo lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- River Plate Montevideo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Progreso, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 30%
Progreso Rent bur 68%
River Plate Montevideo Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Progreso | River Plate Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 8 |
| Tap | 19 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
26. aug. 2026 Copa Uruguay
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
0:2
14. sep. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso
0:0
23. mars 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
2:1
19. okt. 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
2:0
9. juni 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo
1:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Progreso Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59
River Plate Montevideo Sammenlign
Toppscorer Vera D.
1 Mål Assister Lopez I.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Progreso 41 / 100
River Plate Montevideo 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Progreso River Plate Montevideo
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Progreso Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
River Plate Montevideo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Progreso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
River Plate Montevideo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Måltrender
Progreso VS River Plate Montevideo
1.25 Mål scoret 1.25
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Progreso
(Home) 01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
25 Oct
Wanderers
0 : 1 Progreso
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0 Juventud
10 Oct
Penarol
1 : 1 Progreso
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Progreso
0 : 2 Defensor Sp.
17 Oct
Progreso
2 : 0 Juventud
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1 Racing Montevideo
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
River Plate Montevideo
(Away) 01 Nov
River Plate Montevideo
1 : 1 Tacuarembo
24 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
1 : 2 Uruguay Montevideo FC
18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
10 Oct
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
14 Oct
Boston River
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Atenas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenix | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
