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RB Leipzig vs PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
tir. 13. okt. 2026
VS
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

RB Leipzig host PSV in the Champions League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. RB Leipzig have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against PSV's 2.87 scored and 1.6 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.00 - 2.13) back PSV to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
RB Leipzig
40%
Uavgjort
29%
PSV
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • PSV have won more games recently than RB Leipzig.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 87%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 87%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 80.2%
RB Leipzig Rent bur 10%
PSV Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk RB Leipzig PSV
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 16 19
Uavgjort 3 4
Tap 11 7
Mål Scoret 1.93 2.87
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.43 1.6
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

RB Leipzig 30 / 100
PSV 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
RB Leipzig PSV

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: RB Leipzig scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

PSV let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: RB Leipzig stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: PSV has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

RB Leipzig VS PSV
2.63 Mål scoret 2.75
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6

PSV

(Away)
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2
PSV
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
4 Manchester United 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Como 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Sporting CP 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
10 Lens 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
11 Betis 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
13 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
15 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 AEK 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 AS Roma 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Shakhtar 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
21 Villarreal 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
22 Lille 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
23 Slavia Prague 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
24 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
25 Inter 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Atl. Madrid 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Napoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 LASK Linz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
29 Viking 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Galatasaray 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 FC Porto 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
34 Sabah Baku 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
36 Bodo/Glimt 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)