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Rochdale vs Grimsby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Spotland Stadium, Rochdale
tir. 20. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Rochdale host Grimsby in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rochdale have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Grimsby's 1.69 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Rochdale slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19. juli 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward Grimsby. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Rochdale
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Grimsby
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Rochdale haven't matched Grimsby's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Rochdale Rent bur 15%
Grimsby Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Rochdale Grimsby
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 11 12
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 11 8
Mål Scoret 1.55 1.69
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.83 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. juli 2025 Club Friendly
Rochdale vs Grimsby
2:0
11. mars 2023 League Two
Grimsby vs Rochdale
1:0
13. aug. 2022 League Two
Rochdale vs Grimsby
0:1
14. aug. 2018 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Rochdale
0:2
27. mars 2010 League Two
Rochdale vs Grimsby
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Rochdale 30 / 100
Grimsby 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Rochdale Grimsby

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Rochdale Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Difficult form: Grimsby registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rochdale scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Grimsby has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Måltrender

Rochdale VS Grimsby
1.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochdale

(Home)
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
06 Oct
Huddersfield
5 : 0
Rochdale
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0
Swindon
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4
Liverpool U21
Page 1 of 6

Grimsby

(Away)
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)