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Stadium Background

Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Arena Khimki, Khimki
tor. 15. okt. 2026
VS
05:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rodina Moscow at 1.79 goals for, 1.79 against; Spartak Moscow at 1.66 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. sep. 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Spartak Moscow. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Rodina Moscow
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Spartak Moscow
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Spartak Moscow

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Rodina Moscow haven't matched Spartak Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Spartak Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Moscow here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Rodina Moscow Rent bur 10%
Spartak Moscow Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Rodina Moscow Spartak Moscow
Kamper Spilt 28 29
Seire 12 18
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 11 7
Mål Scoret 1.79 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.79 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 2.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. sep. 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:1
25. juli 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:0
16. sep. 2020 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 22 / 100
Spartak Moscow 48 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Rodina Moscow Spartak Moscow

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Spartak Moscow Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Spartak Moscow let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Rodina Moscow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Rodina Moscow VS Spartak Moscow
1 Mål scoret 1.75
2.63 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Moscow

(Away)
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1
Orenburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)