Sport Picks
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Heart Health Park, Sacramento, CA 
Kamphendelser
13'
13'
Anderson O.
Assist: Pinzon C.
35'
35'
Anderson O.
36'
36'
Rodriguez M.
Assist: Crisostomo D.
Kampsammendrag
The USL Championship game between Sacramento Republic and Las Vegas Lights finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sacramento Republic.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
40%
33%
27%
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Sacramento Republic
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
70%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Sacramento Republic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sacramento Republic are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Sacramento Republic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Sacramento Republic Rent bur 20%
Las Vegas Lights Rent bur 11%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Sacramento Republic | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 5 |
| Tap | 6 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.52 | 1.24 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.9 | 1.41 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. okt. 2026 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
3:2
12. apr. 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic
1:1
5. juli 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic
0:2
1. juni 2025 USL Cup
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
4:0
18. mai 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights
5:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Sacramento Republic Sammenlign
Toppscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Mål Assister Wolff T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63
Las Vegas Lights Sammenlign
Toppscorer Anderson O.
1 Mål Assister Locker C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.85
Snitt xA / kamp 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Sacramento Republic 40 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Sacramento Republic Las Vegas Lights
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Sacramento Republic Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Sacramento Republic went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sacramento Republic found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Las Vegas Lights conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Måltrender
Sacramento Republic VS Las Vegas Lights
1.13 Mål scoret 1.13
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sacramento Republic
(Home) 04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
23 Aug
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2 Phoenix Rising
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
