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Stadium Background

Serbia vs Netherlands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

12'
Lukic S.
17'
Bytte
Gakpo C. Inn: van Bommel R.
Ut: Gakpo C.
30' Event
Meerdink M.
(Straffe)

Kampsammendrag

Netherlands in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Serbia
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Netherlands
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Netherlands

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Netherlands have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Win probability leans Netherlands's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Serbia Rent bur 10%
Netherlands Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Serbia Netherlands
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 8 15
Uavgjort 7 10
Tap 14 5
Mål Scoret 0.9 2.37
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.41 1.17
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.81 2.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Serbia
2:1
27. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Netherlands
1:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Serbia Sammenlign

Toppscorer Jovic L.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.62
Snitt xA / kamp 0.41

Netherlands Sammenlign

Toppscorer Meerdink M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 2.1
Snitt xA / kamp 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Serbia 10 / 100
Netherlands 85 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Serbia Netherlands

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Netherlands Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Netherlands let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Serbia scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Netherlands lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Serbia VS Netherlands
0.63 Mål scoret 2.38
2.25 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands

(Away)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)