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Shamakhi vs Safa Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi
fre. 16. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Shamakhi host Safa Baku in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Shamakhi at 1.04 goals for, 1.25 against; Safa Baku at 1.36 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Shamakhi slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9. mai 2005, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward Safa Baku. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Shamakhi
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Safa Baku
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Shamakhi

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Safa Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Shamakhi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Shamakhi have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67.8%
Shamakhi Rent bur 20%
Safa Baku Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Shamakhi Safa Baku
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 9 12
Uavgjort 9 8
Tap 10 8
Mål Scoret 1.04 1.36
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.25 1.07
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. mai 2005 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Safa Baku
3:0
8. des. 2004 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Shamakhi
1:4
17. apr. 2004 Premier League
Shamakhi vs Safa Baku
0:0
29. juli 2003 Premier League
Safa Baku vs Shamakhi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Shamakhi 85 / 100
Safa Baku 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Shamakhi Safa Baku

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Shamakhi Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Recent resilience: Shamakhi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Safa Baku lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Shamakhi's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Måltrender

Shamakhi VS Safa Baku
1.25 Mål scoret 0.5
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamakhi

(Home)
20 Sept
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Araz PFK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
23 Aug
Turan
0 : 0
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

Safa Baku

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Sabah Baku 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
6 Shamakhi 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
7 Kapaz 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
8 Gabala 6 1 1 4 2:7 4
9 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
10 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
11 SumQayit FK 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
12 Araz PFK 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)