Sport Picks
Southampton vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 
Kamphendelser
8'
8'
Larin C.
Assist: Downes F.
19'
19'
Bree J.
26'
26'
Galbraith E.
Assist: Gallagher S.
Kampsammendrag
Southampton in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southampton.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
40%
33%
27%
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Southampton
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
70%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Southampton have won more games recently than Stoke City.
- Model gives Southampton a 40% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Southampton Rent bur 20%
Stoke City Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Southampton | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 17 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 5 |
| Tap | 4 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.96 | 1.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
22. aug. 2026 Championship
Southampton vs Stoke City
3:1
31. jan. 2026 Championship
Stoke City vs Southampton
0:2
23. aug. 2025 Championship
Southampton vs Stoke City
1:2
29. okt. 2024 EFL Cup
Southampton vs Stoke City
3:2
27. apr. 2024 Championship
Southampton vs Stoke City
0:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Southampton Sammenlign
Toppscorer Larin C.
1 Mål Assister Mubama D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75
Stoke City Sammenlign
Toppscorer Galbraith E.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Southampton 40 / 100
Stoke City 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Southampton Stoke City
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Southampton Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Southampton scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Southampton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Stoke City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Måltrender
Southampton VS Stoke City
2.13 Mål scoret 1.5
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton
(Home) 03 Nov
West Brom
1 : 1 Southampton
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3 Southampton
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0 Bolton
14 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Southampton
4 : 1 QPR
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0 Bolton
11 Oct
Southampton
1 : 0 Portsmouth
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
31 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 0 Preston
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0 Bristol City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
13 Oct
Stoke City
2 : 3 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Blackburn
1 : 2 Stoke City
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2 Stoke City
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
