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Swindon vs Crewe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two County Ground, Swindon
lør. 10. okt. 2026
VS
11:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Swindon host Crewe in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Swindon have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Crewe's 1.39 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Crewe slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21. feb. 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Crewe. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Swindon
22%
Uavgjort
60%
Crewe
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Crewe

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Swindon haven't matched Crewe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Crewe a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Swindon Rent bur 13%
Crewe Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Swindon Crewe
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 9 11
Uavgjort 6 10
Tap 13 7
Mål Scoret 1.32 1.39
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.71 1.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. feb. 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Crewe
1:2
30. aug. 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Swindon
0:3
11. jan. 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Crewe
0:0
24. aug. 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Swindon
0:0
13. jan. 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Swindon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Swindon 19 / 100
Crewe 57 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Swindon Crewe

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Crewe Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Swindon's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Crewe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Swindon has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Swindon VS Crewe
1 Mål scoret 1.5
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1
Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Crewe

(Away)
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Cheltenham 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Grimsby 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Salford 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Crewe 8 2 6 0 8:6 12
10 Tranmere 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
12 Swindon 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
13 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
15 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
17 Newport 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
18 Shrewsbury 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
19 Accrington 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
20 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
21 Exeter 8 1 3 4 4:6 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)