Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamworth vs Leeds U21

England England

National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
tir. 6. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tamworth at 1.86 goals for, 1.76 against; Leeds U21 at 1.34 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor Tamworth slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21. jan. 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Tamworth. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Tamworth
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Leeds U21
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Tamworth

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Tamworth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tamworth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamworth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Tamworth Rent bur 13%
Leeds U21 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tamworth Leeds U21
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 12 8
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 10 17
Mål Scoret 1.86 1.34
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.76 2.14
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.13 1.69
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. jan. 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Leeds U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tamworth 39 / 100
Leeds U21 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tamworth Leeds U21

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Tamworth Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tamworth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leeds U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Tamworth VS Leeds U21
2.25 Mål scoret 1.5
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
22 Aug
Halifax
4 : 1
Tamworth
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
15 Aug
Tamworth
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
08 Aug
Boreham Wood
3 : 3
Tamworth
01 Aug
Telford
1 : 3
Tamworth
Page 1 of 6

Leeds U21

(Away)
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3
West Brom U21
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2
Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0
Leeds U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3
Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2
Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)