Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tondela have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Alverca's 1.15 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Alverca slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 13. feb. 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.19) back Alverca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Look at the last few games and Tondela come out ahead of Alverca on wins alone.
- Model gives Tondela a 80% chance of winning this.
- Tondela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Alverca, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Tondela | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 26 |
| Seire | 10 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 8 |
| Tap | 11 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Alverca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
Tondela found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tondela remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.