Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toulouse vs Lille

Frankrike Frankrike

Ligue 1 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
tor. 3. sep. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Toulouse host Lille in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lille have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Toulouse have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Toulouse have won 1 to Lille's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on 12. apr. 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.50) point toward Lille. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Toulouse
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Lille
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Lille

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Lille lately — more wins on the board than Toulouse.
  • Win probability leans Lille's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lille have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Toulouse Rent bur 16%
Lille Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Toulouse Lille
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 12 13
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 12 9
Mål Scoret 1.28 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 1.1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12. apr. 2026 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lille
0:4
14. sep. 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs Toulouse
2:1
12. apr. 2025 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lille
1:2
5. okt. 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Toulouse
2:1
25. feb. 2024 Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lille
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Toulouse 23 / 100
Lille 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Toulouse Lille

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Lille Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Toulouse scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lille conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Toulouse went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Toulouse VS Lille
1.13 Mål scoret 1.88
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toulouse

(Home)
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
15 Aug
Toulouse
1 : 2
Hamburger
08 Aug
Elche
3 : 0
Toulouse
05 Aug
Al Ain
0 : 1
Toulouse
31 Jul
Toulouse
2 : 1
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

Lille

(Away)
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2
Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Lens 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Brest 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Lorient 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Nice 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Troyes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Le Havre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Lille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 PSG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Angers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
18 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)