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Trefelin vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
04:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Trefelin have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Llantwit Major's 1.44 scored and 1.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Trefelin slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28. feb. 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Trefelin. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Trefelin
22%
Uavgjort
60%
Llantwit Major
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Llantwit Major

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Llantwit Major haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Llantwit Major a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Trefelin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trefelin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Trefelin Rent bur 12%
Llantwit Major Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Trefelin Llantwit Major
Kamper Spilt 36 32
Seire 20 11
Uavgjort 3 8
Tap 13 13
Mål Scoret 2.03 1.44
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.67 1.84
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.94 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. feb. 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
0:1
25. aug. 2025 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
3:3
25. jan. 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
0:0
16. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Llantwit Major
3:1
2. mars 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trefelin
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Trefelin 19 / 100
Llantwit Major 57 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Trefelin Llantwit Major

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Llantwit Major Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Trefelin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Trefelin VS Llantwit Major
0.38 Mål scoret 0.88
2.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
09 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 3
Trefelin
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 8

Llantwit Major

(Away)
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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