Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tunisia vs Uganda

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
ons. 23. sep. 2026
VS
04:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Uganda have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Tunisia have conceded 1 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Tunisia slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. des. 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.69, favoring Tunisia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Tunisia
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Uganda
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Uganda

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Uganda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Uganda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tunisia have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65.8%
Tunisia Rent bur 20%
Uganda Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tunisia Uganda
Kamper Spilt 33 31
Seire 15 17
Uavgjort 6 4
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 1.63 0.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 0.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. des. 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Uganda
3:1
4. jan. 2017 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Uganda
2:0
8. mars 1978 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Uganda
3:1
19. jan. 1962 Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia vs Uganda
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tunisia 10 / 100
Uganda 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tunisia Uganda

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips UGA Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Tunisia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Uganda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Uganda conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Måltrender

Tunisia VS Uganda
1.63 Mål scoret 0.38
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 7

Uganda

(Away)
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1
Uganda
18 Nov
Morocco
4 : 0
Uganda
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco00000:00
2Lesotho00000:00
3Gabon00000:00
4Niger00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malawi00000:00
2Egypt00000:00
3Angola00000:00
4South Sudan00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana00000:00
2Gambia00000:00
3Ivory Coast00000:00
4Somalia00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kenya00000:00
2South Africa00000:00
3Guinea00000:00
4Eritrea00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sierra Leone00000:00
2Equatorial Guinea00000:00
3Zimbabwe00000:00
4D.R. Congo00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mauritania00000:00
2Burkina Faso00000:00
3Benin00000:00
4Central Africa00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Namibia00000:00
2Cameroon00000:00
3Congo00000:00
4Comoros00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Libya00000:00
2Tunisia00000:00
3Botswana00000:00
4Uganda00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria00000:00
2Burundi00000:00
3Zambia00000:00
4Togo00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ethiopia00000:00
2Senegal00000:00
3Mozambique00000:00
4Sudan00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Verde00000:00
2Liberia00000:00
3Rwanda00000:00
4Mali00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tanzania00000:00
2Nigeria00000:00
3Madagascar00000:00
4Guinea Bissau00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)