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Turkey vs Italy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
Turkey Logo

Turkey

1 - 4
Slutt
Italy Logo

Italy

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

9' Event
Bastoni A.
22' Event
Frattesi D.
27' Event
Kayode M.
Assist: Esposito F.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Italy in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Turkey
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Italy
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Italy

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Italy average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Turkey's 1.68.
  • Model gives Italy a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy have taken 4 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Turkey Rent bur 20%
Italy Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Turkey Italy
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 17 17
Uavgjort 4 5
Tap 10 8
Mål Scoret 1.68 1.83
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.35 1.23
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

5. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Turkey
3:1
28. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Italy
1:4
4. juni 2024 Friendly International
Italy vs Turkey
0:0
29. mars 2022 Friendly International
Turkey vs Italy
2:3
11. juni 2021 Euro
Turkey vs Italy
0:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Turkey Sammenlign

Toppscorer Yilmaz B.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Italy Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bastoni A.
1 Mål
Assister Frattesi D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Turkey 10 / 100
Italy 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Turkey Italy

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Italy Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Turkey scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Italy let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Turkey went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Turkey VS Italy
1.5 Mål scoret 1.38
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
Belgium
3 : 0
Turkey
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Turkey
0 : 1
France
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
Page 1 of 7

Italy

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)