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Tusker vs Mara Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
man. 2. nov. 2026
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Tusker host Mara Sugar in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Tusker at 0.97 goals for, 0.94 against; Mara Sugar at 0.96 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Tusker slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24. apr. 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 0.79) point toward Tusker. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Tusker
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Mara Sugar
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Tusker

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Tusker come out ahead of Mara Sugar on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tusker taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 67%
Tusker Rent bur 20%
Mara Sugar Rent bur 16%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tusker Mara Sugar
Kamper Spilt 35 28
Seire 16 9
Uavgjort 5 12
Tap 14 7
Mål Scoret 0.97 0.96
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.94 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.92 0.79
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. apr. 2026 Premier League
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
0:1
29. nov. 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Tusker
0:1
6. apr. 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Tusker
1:1
27. nov. 2024 Premier League
Tusker vs Mara Sugar
2:1
18. sep. 2022 Club Friendly
Mara Sugar vs Tusker
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tusker 42 / 100
Mara Sugar 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tusker Mara Sugar

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tusker's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tusker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mara Sugar has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Måltrender

Tusker VS Mara Sugar
1.13 Mål scoret 0.71
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tusker

(Home)
29 Oct
Mathare United
2 : 1
Tusker
25 Oct
Singida Black Stars
1 : 1
Tusker
18 Oct
Tusker
0 : 1
Singida Black Stars
11 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Tusker
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
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Mara Sugar

(Away)
28 Oct
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Leopards
24 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 0
Mara Sugar
19 Oct
Mara Sugar
2 : 1
Mombasa United
11 Oct
3K FC
2 : 2
Mara Sugar
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 KCB 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Muranga 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
4 Mara Sugar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
5 Leopards 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
6 Shabana 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
7 APS Bomet 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
8 Police FC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
9 Mathare United 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
10 3K FC 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
11 Kakamega Homeboyz 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Posta Rangers 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
13 Tusker 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Migori 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
15 Nairobi United 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
16 Bandari 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
17 Ulinzi Stars 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
18 Mombasa United 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)