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Stadium Background

Victoria vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Yuvileiny Stadium, Sumy
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
08:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Victoria host FC Chernihiv in the Persha Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FC Chernihiv have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Victoria have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Victoria slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. nov. 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Victoria to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Victoria
20%
Uavgjort
38%
FC Chernihiv
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Victoria

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria come out ahead of FC Chernihiv on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Victoria's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Victoria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Victoria Rent bur 18%
FC Chernihiv Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Victoria FC Chernihiv
Kamper Spilt 29 31
Seire 12 10
Uavgjort 8 7
Tap 9 14
Mål Scoret 1.21 1.29
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.97 1.32
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. nov. 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Chernihiv
3:0
9. aug. 2025 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Victoria
1:2
12. aug. 2024 Ukrainian Cup
FC Chernihiv vs Victoria
0:1
12. nov. 2023 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Victoria
0:3
9. sep. 2023 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Chernihiv
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Victoria 41 / 100
FC Chernihiv 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Victoria FC Chernihiv

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Victoria scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FC Chernihiv let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Victoria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Victoria VS FC Chernihiv
1.25 Mål scoret 1.63
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

FC Chernihiv

(Away)
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)