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Wales vs Norway - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Wales Logo

Wales

2 - 1
Slutt
Norway Logo

Norway

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

11' Event
Bobb O.
Assist: Odegaard M.
16'
Bytte
Ryerson J. Inn: Pedersen M.
Ut: Ryerson J.
37'
James J.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Norway finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wales.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Wales
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Norway
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Norway come out ahead of Wales on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Wales Rent bur 14%
Norway Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wales Norway
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 10 19
Uavgjort 9 4
Tap 11 7
Mål Scoret 1.4 2.6
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.27 1.2
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.10 1.58
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Norway
2:1
12. nov. 2011 Friendly International
Wales vs Norway
4:1
6. feb. 2008 Friendly International
Wales vs Norway
3:0
27. mai 2004 Friendly International
Norway vs Wales
0:0
5. sep. 2001 World Championship
Norway vs Wales
3:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Wales Sammenlign

Toppscorer James D.
1 Mål
Assister Williams N.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.85
Snitt xA / kamp 0.55

Norway Sammenlign

Toppscorer Bobb O.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.44
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wales 31 / 100
Norway 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wales Norway

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Wales found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Norway conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Norway registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Wales VS Norway
0.71 Mål scoret 1.88
1.29 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales

(Home)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
Page 1 of 6

Norway

(Away)
04 Oct
Portugal
2 : 1
Norway
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)