Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wanderers vs CA Cerro

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
tir. 1. sep. 2026
VS
09:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Wanderers have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against CA Cerro's 0.68 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Wanderers slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 28. mars 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Wanderers. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Wanderers
33%
Uavgjort
27%
CA Cerro
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Wanderers

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than CA Cerro.
  • Model gives Wanderers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wanderers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Wanderers Rent bur 19%
CA Cerro Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Wanderers CA Cerro
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 12 7
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 11 15
Mål Scoret 1.24 0.68
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.45 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. mars 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs CA Cerro
3:0
26. sep. 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs CA Cerro
0:1
1. juni 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Wanderers
1:2
31. mars 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Wanderers
2:1
16. aug. 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs CA Cerro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Wanderers 40 / 100
CA Cerro 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Wanderers CA Cerro

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Wanderers Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Wanderers's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CA Cerro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Wanderers VS CA Cerro
1.25 Mål scoret 1
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0
Central Esp.
23 Aug
Montevideo City
5 : 1
Wanderers
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1
Cerro Largo
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Wanderers
05 Aug
Penarol
5 : 1
Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

CA Cerro

(Away)
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1
CA Cerro
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0
CA Cerro
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1
Albion
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1
CA Cerro
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1
CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Danubio 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Penarol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Atenas 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Montevideo City 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Defensor Sp. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Rentistas 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Cerro Largo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Cerro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cerrito 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Maldonado 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventud 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Central Esp. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Racing Montevideo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate Montevideo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Club Nacional 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Albion 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Progreso 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Boston River 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Colon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fenix 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)