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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tyskland Tyskland

Bundesliga Weserstadion, Bremen
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
01:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Werder Bremen host Paderborn in the Bundesliga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Werder Bremen have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Paderborn's 1.79 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Werder Bremen have won 2 to Paderborn's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 8. aug. 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Paderborn to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Werder Bremen
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Paderborn
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Werder Bremen

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Paderborn come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Werder Bremen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Werder Bremen Rent bur 18%
Paderborn Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Werder Bremen Paderborn
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 11 14
Uavgjort 5 9
Tap 13 6
Mål Scoret 1.59 1.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.52 1.45
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
2:2
30. okt. 2024 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
0:1
19. okt. 2022 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:2
22. jan. 2022 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:4
15. aug. 2021 2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Werder Bremen 40 / 100
Paderborn 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Werder Bremen Paderborn

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Werder Bremen Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Paderborn has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Werder Bremen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Werder Bremen VS Paderborn
2.38 Mål scoret 1.75
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

Paderborn

(Away)
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)