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Stadium Background

York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup York Community Stadium, York
lør. 7. nov. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. York City have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Northampton's 0.82 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10. okt. 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward York City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
York City
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Northampton
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • York City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
York City Rent bur 20%
Northampton Rent bur 14%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk York City Northampton
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 11 5
Uavgjort 7 7
Tap 10 16
Mål Scoret 1.71 0.82
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.43
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.06 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. okt. 2026 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1
23. feb. 2016 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:2
6. feb. 2016 League Two
Northampton vs York City
2:0
21. feb. 2015 League Two
Northampton vs York City
3:0
16. aug. 2014 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

York City 36 / 100
Northampton 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
York City Northampton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Northampton Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

York City VS Northampton
1.25 Mål scoret 0.88
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0
Port Vale
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Accrington
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1
Oldham
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1
Northampton
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0
Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Exeter -
Luton -
Forest Green -
Bristol Rovers -
Cambridge Utd -
Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
Harborough -
Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
Walsall -
Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
Scunthorpe -
Cheltenham -
Halifax -
Colchester -
Worcester -
Eastleigh -
Shrewsbury -
Peterborough -
Reading -
Wimborne -
Crawley Town -
Plymouth -
Alvechurch -
Hornchurch -
Blackpool -
Guiseley -
Sutton -
Stafford -
Grimsby -
Oxford City -
Leicester -
Bradford City -
Marine -
York City -
Northampton -
Altrincham -
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