Palpites de Esportes
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerphilly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FA Cup 2023/2024 
Resumo do Jogo
This match ends 2-1, with Abertillery Bluebirds advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
4%
6%
90%
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Caerphilly
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
95%
/ Muito Alta de Confiança
- Abertillery Bluebirds carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Caerphilly taking it.
- Abertillery Bluebirds have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Abertillery Bluebirds, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 81%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 81%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 79.8%
Abertillery Bluebirds Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Caerphilly Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Abertillery Bluebirds | Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 14 |
| Vitórias | 5 | 3 |
| Empates | 6 | 2 |
| Derrotas | 18 | 9 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Gols Sofridos | 2.97 | 2.21 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
16 de set. de 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerphilly
2:1
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Abertillery Bluebirds 10 / 100
Caerphilly 83 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Abertillery Bluebirds Caerphilly
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Caerphilly Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Attacking prowess: Abertillery Bluebirds scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Caerphilly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Caerphilly's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Tendências de Gols
Abertillery Bluebirds VS Caerphilly
1.38 Gols Marcados 0.75
3.88 Gols Sofridos 2
88% Mais de 1.5 75%
88% Mais de 2.5 75%
63% Mais de 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Abertillery Bluebirds
(Home) 21 Sept
New Inn
2 : 1 Abertillery Bluebirds
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Afan Lido
16 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 3 Abertillery Bluebirds
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7 Ammanford Town
29 Mar
Cambrian United
5 : 2 Abertillery Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
20 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Afan Lido
13 Apr
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 7 Ammanford Town
23 Mar
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 5 Trefelin
09 Mar
Abertillery Bluebirds
0 : 4 Goytre Utd
24 Feb
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 0 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
Caerphilly
(Away) 03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3 Aberystwyth
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 3
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
