Palpites de Esportes
Afghanistan U19 vs Palestine U19
Asia
AFC Championship U19 2016 
Resumo do Jogo
Palestine U19 is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Afghanistan U19, backed by a win probability of 62%. Afghanistan U19 averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Palestine U19 shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Afghanistan U19, 1 wins for Palestine U19, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.10.15 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Afghanistan U19 and 1.69 for Palestine U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Palestine U19 double chance or over markets.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Afghanistan U19 conquistou mais pontos recentemente do que Palestine U19.
- Modelo prevê maior perigo de gol para o mandante (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
- Confrontos passados mostram padrão claro a favor do visitante.
- Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Afghanistan U19 | Palestine U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 16 | 16 |
| Vitórias | 2 | 6 |
| Empates | 3 | 3 |
| Derrotas | 11 | 7 |
| Gols Marcados | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Gols Sofridos | 2.13 | 1.81 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 0.63 | 1.88 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Perfil Tático do Confronto
Posições de Campo e Estilo de Controle
Afghanistan U19
Palestine U19
Índice de Momentum Sokapicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Detetor de Value Bet (+EV)
Onde a probabilidade do modelo supera a das casas
Linha do Tempo do Jogo
Projeções de dominância e pressão em blocos de 15 min
Palestine U19 will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Afghanistan U19 will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Palestine U19's early runs.
Expect Palestine U19 to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Afghanistan U19 tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Palestine U19 increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Afghanistan U19's defense, opening up opportunities for Palestine U19's forward line.
Expect Palestine U19 to manage the closing stages, while Afghanistan U19 searches for late drama.
Mapas de Calor e Chutes
Sobreposições térmicas calculadas por entradas de zona
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Afghanistan U19 have found the net in 44% of their last 16 matches.
Palestine U19 have conceded at least one goal in 75% of their last 16 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Afghanistan U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Palestine U19 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Análise de Risco
Avaliando possíveis imprevistos e variáveis externas
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparador de Equipes
Comparação lado a lado das métricas
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Bangladesh U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Bhutan U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 5 | Pakistan U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saudi Arabia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Yemen U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Turkmenistan U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Syria U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Arab Emirates U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Palestine U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Afghanistan U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | India U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Qatar U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Oman U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Lebanon U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:15 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Kuwait U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Jordan U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Nepal U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:14 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraq U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Bahrain U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Maldives U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:17 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Myanmar U19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Timor-Leste U19 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Brunei U19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:18 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Thailand U19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Singapore U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 4 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 4 |
| 5 | Northern Mariana Islands U19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:38 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:0 | 9 |
| 2 | North Korea U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Malaysia U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Macau U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:17 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Australia U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Laos U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Philippines U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:14 | 0 |