Palpites de Esportes
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
Inglaterra
FA Trophy 2025/2026 
Eventos da Partida
58'
58'
Ferdinand L.
86'
86'
Haste O.
1'
1'
Moore C.
(Pênalti)
Resumo do Jogo
This match ends 1-2, with Dorchester advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
90%
6%
4%
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Basingstoke
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
95%
/ Muito Alta de Confiança
- Look at the last few games and Basingstoke come out ahead of Dorchester on wins alone.
- Basingstoke are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Basingstoke have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dorchester, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 60.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 27%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Basingstoke Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Dorchester Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Basingstoke | Dorchester |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 30 |
| Vitórias | 10 | 6 |
| Empates | 6 | 10 |
| Derrotas | 13 | 14 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.59 | 1.13 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 2.35 | 1.17 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
14 de mar. de 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
1:1
28 de out. de 2025 FA Trophy
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
1:2
21 de out. de 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Basingstoke
1:0
28 de dez. de 2024 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Basingstoke
3:2
17 de ago. de 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Dorchester
2:0
Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave
Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols
Basingstoke Comparar
Artilheiro Ferdinand L.
1 Gols Média xG / jogo 1.81
Média xA / jogo 1.18
Dorchester Comparar
Artilheiro Haste O.
1 Gols Média xG / jogo 1.06
Média xA / jogo 0.65
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Basingstoke 85 / 100
Dorchester 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Basingstoke Dorchester
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Basingstoke Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Defensive concern: Dorchester conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Basingstoke scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Away concern: Dorchester has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tendências de Gols
Basingstoke VS Dorchester
2 Gols Marcados 0.71
1.63 Gols Sofridos 2.71
88% Mais de 1.5 71%
75% Mais de 2.5 71%
50% Mais de 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
14 Jul
Slough Town
2 : 4 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
06 Apr
Basingstoke
1 : 0 Sholing
28 Mar
Basingstoke
3 : 3 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 3
Dorchester
(Away) 25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
03 Apr
Dorchester
2 : 3 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
28 Mar
Walton & Hersham
3 : 1 Dorchester
17 Mar
Farnham
2 : 1 Dorchester
14 Mar
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Dorchester
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Sudbury 2
Leiston 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Bradford PA 2
Morpeth 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Leek Town 3
Bromsgrove 0
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Basingstoke 1
Dorchester 2
Brentwood 3
Welling 0
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Alvechurch 1
Worcester 0
Real Bedford 3
Ashford United 2
Redditch 1
Gainsborough 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Chester -
TBD -
Clitheroe 4
Stockton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Canvey Island 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Stanway Rovers 1
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Farnham 3
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 1
Portchester 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Chatham 2
Plymouth Parkway 2
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Salisbury -
Harborough 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 1
Banbury 0
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester 1
Bamber Bridge 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 4
Stratford 0
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Corby 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 2
Cray Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 0
Stortford 5
Wingate & Finchley 0
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Tilbury 1
Hadley 0
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Hanwell Town 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 3
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Marine -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Stocksbridge 3
Slough Town -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Walton & Hersham 5
Hendon 1
TBD -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 4
TBD -
AFC Totton -
South Shields -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Hebburn Town 0
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 2
Guiseley 1
1/64-finals
Sudbury 1
Hereford 5
Radcliffe 3
Bradford PA 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Spennymoor 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton 2
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Dover Ath. 2
Dorchester 0
Brentwood 0
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 1
Telford 2
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
Alvechurch 2
Real Bedford 1
Gainsborough 1
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Chester 0
Clitheroe 1
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
King’s Lynn 2
Harrow Borough 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Chelmsford 0
Horsham FC 2
Farnham 0
Wimborne 0
Chatham 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 3
Harborough 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Bath City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Darlington FC 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Chorley 2
Worksop 3
Kidderminster 3
Corby 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet 2
Sittingbourne 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Cheshunt 2
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tilbury 0
Merthyr Town 2
Hanwell Town 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington 2
Maidenhead 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Stocksbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Gloucester City 2
Tonbridge 0
Worthing FC 4
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
AFC Totton 2
South Shields 6
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 1
Prescot Cables 0
1/32-finals
Hereford 2
Radcliffe 1
Solihull Moors 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 1
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Dover Ath. 1
Hornchurch 4
Telford 4
Altrincham 3
Yeovil 2
Maidstone 1
Alvechurch 3
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe 5
Peterborough Sports 0
Clitheroe 2
York City 1
Leatherhead 3
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Harborough 1
Carlisle 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Bath City 2
Southend 4
Truro 0
Halifax 4
United of Manchester 0
Hartlepool 1
Anstey Nomads 2
Worksop 0
Kidderminster 1
Gateshead 0
Morecambe 3
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Forest Green 4
Weston-super-Mare 0
Wealdstone 2
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. 3
Hanwell Town 1
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 0
Rochdale 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 4
Worthing FC 3
Walton & Hersham 4
Sutton 1
Boreham Wood 3
Brackley 4
Woking 2
AFC Totton 0
South Shields 0
Macclesfield 1
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 0
Southport 2
Hornchurch 1
Telford 2
Yeovil 1
Alvechurch 0
Scunthorpe 3
Clitheroe 1
Leatherhead 2
Horsham FC 3
Chatham 1
Carlisle 0
Bath City 1
Southend 3
Halifax 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Kidderminster 6
Morecambe 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Forest Green 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Tamworth 2
Rochdale 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Brackley 0
Woking 2
Macclesfield 1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde 0
Southport 1
Telford 0
Yeovil 2
Scunthorpe 1
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 0
Southend 1
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Forest Green 0
Wealdstone 3
Tamworth 0
Marine 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking 2
Quarter-finals
Southport 2
Yeovil 1
Horsham FC 1
Southend 2
Kidderminster 1
Wealdstone 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Semi-finals
Southport 1
Southend 3
Wealdstone 1
Marine 0
Final
Southend 1
Wealdstone 0
