Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
This Azadegan League encounter between Besat Kermanshah and Mes Kerman promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Besat Kermanshah averages 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Mes Kerman shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Besat Kermanshah, 2 wins for Mes Kerman, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.02.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.56 for Besat Kermanshah and 0.63 for Mes Kerman, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mes Kerman double chance or over markets.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Besat Kermanshah conquistou mais pontos recentemente do que Mes Kerman.
- Modelo prevê maior perigo de gol para o mandante (0.56 vs 0.63 xG).
- Confrontos passados mostram padrão claro a favor do visitante.
- Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Besat Kermanshah | Mes Kerman |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 29 |
| Vitórias | 8 | 8 |
| Empates | 9 | 14 |
| Derrotas | 12 | 7 |
| Gols Marcados | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| Gols Sofridos | 0.93 | 0.55 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 0.38 | 0.75 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Perfil Tático do Confronto
Posições de Campo e Estilo de Controle
Besat Kermanshah
Mes Kerman
Índice de Momentum Sokapicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Detetor de Value Bet (+EV)
Onde a probabilidade do modelo supera a das casas
Linha do Tempo do Jogo
Projeções de dominância e pressão em blocos de 15 min
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Mapas de Calor e Chutes
Sobreposições térmicas calculadas por entradas de zona
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Besat Kermanshah have found the net in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Mes Kerman have conceded at least one goal in 45% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.
Besat Kermanshah remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Mes Kerman suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Análise de Risco
Avaliando possíveis imprevistos e variáveis externas
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparador de Equipes
Comparação lado a lado das métricas
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:15 | 66 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 39:14 | 64 |
| 3 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 38:21 | 54 |
| 4 | Sanat Naft | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 34:21 | 54 |
| 5 | Saipa | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 27:18 | 53 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 32 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 30:18 | 49 |
| 7 | Fard | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 24:14 | 45 |
| 8 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 32 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 23:18 | 44 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 32 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 20:17 | 42 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 16:16 | 39 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 24:27 | 38 |
| 12 | Niroye Zamini | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 27:28 | 35 |
| 13 | Naft Gachsaran | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 23:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 16:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 19:35 | 31 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 17:27 | 29 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 16:43 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 16:52 | 18 |