Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Bolton vs Rotherham

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

37' Event
Gale T.
Assist: Taylor R.
45'
Gale T.
46'
Sub
Christie C. Entra: Dacres-Cogley J.
Sai: Christie C.

Resumo do Jogo

Bolton in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

50%
Bolton
28%
Empates
22%
Rotherham
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Bolton

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

76% / Alta de Confiança
  • Bolton have won more games recently than Rotherham.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bolton taking it.
  • Bolton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bolton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71.4%
Bolton Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Rotherham Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Bolton Rotherham
Partidas Jogadas 29 29
Vitórias 13 7
Empates 11 7
Derrotas 5 15
Gols Marcados 1.63 0.88
Gols Sofridos 1 1.25
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.63 0.88
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

14 de mar. de 2026 League One
Rotherham vs Bolton
2:2
26 de dez. de 2025 League One
Bolton vs Rotherham
2:1
2 de set. de 2025 EFL Trophy
Bolton vs Rotherham
1:0
8 de abr. de 2025 League One
Bolton vs Rotherham
0:1
11 de jan. de 2025 League One
Rotherham vs Bolton
3:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Bolton Comparar

Artilheiro Gale T.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.25
Média xA / jogo 0.81

Rotherham Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.8
Média xA / jogo 0.49

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Bolton 49 / 100
Rotherham 22 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Bolton Rotherham

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal BOL Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Bolton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Rotherham conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Bolton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Bolton VS Rotherham
1.63 Gols Marcados 0.88
1 Gols Sofridos 1.25
63% Mais de 1.5 75%
50% Mais de 2.5 13%
38% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton

(Home)
28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Bolton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0
Everton
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
17 Jul
Dun. Streda
2 : 1
Bolton
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2
Rotherham
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1
Rotherham
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)