Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Bristol Rovers Logo

Bristol Rovers

ter., 25 de ago. de 2026
2 - 3
06:00 PM
Chelsea U21 Logo

Chelsea U21

Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

22' Event
Rijks M.
Assist: Aitchison J.
35'
Ezenwata C.
56'
Sub
Diakite C. Entra: Richards L.
Sai: Diakite C.
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Bristol Rovers
33%
Empates
27%
Chelsea U21
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Bristol Rovers

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Bristol Rovers come out ahead of Chelsea U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bristol Rovers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Bristol Rovers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U21, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 76.2%
Bristol Rovers Sem Sofrer Gols 14%
Chelsea U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Bristol Rovers Chelsea U21
Partidas Jogadas 28 27
Vitórias 17 15
Empates 4 2
Derrotas 7 10
Gols Marcados 1.86 2.22
Gols Sofridos 1.14 1.63
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.31 1.63
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

25 de ago. de 2026 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21
2:3
13 de out. de 2021 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21
1:2
18 de nov. de 2020 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21
4:3
24 de set. de 2019 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Chelsea U21
2:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Bristol Rovers Comparar

Artilheiro Rijks M.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Quigley J.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.01
Média xA / jogo 0.66

Chelsea U21 Comparar

Artilheiro Bettoni H.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Ezenwata C.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.48
Média xA / jogo 0.91

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Bristol Rovers 39 / 100
Chelsea U21 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Bristol Rovers Chelsea U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Bristol Rovers Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Bristol Rovers's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Chelsea U21 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Bristol Rovers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Bristol Rovers VS Chelsea U21
1.5 Gols Marcados 1.63
1.63 Gols Sofridos 1.13
63% Mais de 1.5 50%
50% Mais de 2.5 50%
50% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol Rovers

(Home)
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0
Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0
Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

Chelsea U21

(Away)
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4
Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4
West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3
Chelsea U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)