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Stadium Background

Caerleon vs Barry Town

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2012/2013
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

This match ends 2-5, with Barry Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Caerleon
6%
Empates
90%
Barry Town
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Barry Town

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Caerleon on wins alone.
  • Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Barry Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barry Town, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Caerleon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 6.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 3%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 74.6%
Caerleon Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Barry Town Sem Sofrer Gols 12%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Caerleon Barry Town
Partidas Jogadas 32 40
Vitórias 4 27
Empates 3 2
Derrotas 25 11
Gols Marcados 0.84 2.23
Gols Sofridos 2.19 1.18
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.17 1.18
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

6 de out. de 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Barry Town
2:5
4 de set. de 2012 Division 1
Barry Town vs Caerleon
1:3
14 de ago. de 2012 Division 1
Caerleon vs Barry Town
1:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Caerleon 10 / 100
Barry Town 83 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Caerleon Barry Town

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Barry Town Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Barry Town conceded in 73% of 40 recent games.

Caerleon scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Caerleon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

- VS Barry Town
0 Gols Marcados 1.25
0 Gols Sofridos 1.13
0% Mais de 1.5 75%
0% Mais de 2.5 50%
0% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

Barry Town

(Away)
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3
Barry Town
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3
Barry Town
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3