Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
This match ends 2-4, with Penrhyncoch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
40%
33%
27%
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Caerphilly
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
70%
/ Média de Confiança
- Look at the last few games and Penrhyncoch come out ahead of Caerphilly on wins alone.
- Model gives Caerphilly a 40% chance of winning this.
- Penrhyncoch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 19%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 74.2%
Caerphilly Sem Sofrer Gols 14%
Penrhyncoch Sem Sofrer Gols 19%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Caerphilly | Penrhyncoch |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 9 | 28 |
| Vitórias | 2 | 12 |
| Empates | 1 | 2 |
| Derrotas | 6 | 14 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| Gols Sofridos | 2.33 | 1.93 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 0.76 | 1.57 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
4 de nov. de 2017 FA Cup
Caerphilly vs Penrhyncoch
2:4
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Caerphilly 39 / 100
Penrhyncoch 28 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Caerphilly Penrhyncoch
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Caerphilly Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Penrhyncoch let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Difficult form: Penrhyncoch registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Caerphilly scored in 56% of their last 9 games.
Tendências de Gols
Caerphilly VS Penrhyncoch
0.4 Gols Marcados 1.75
1.4 Gols Sofridos 1.13
60% Mais de 1.5 63%
60% Mais de 2.5 50%
0% Mais de 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerphilly
(Home) 22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3 Caldicot
Page 1 of 2
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3 Caldicot
20 Jun
Caerphilly
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
04 Nov
Caerphilly
2 : 4 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 2
Penrhyncoch
(Away) 22 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0 Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0 Penrhyncoch
21 Mar
Flint Mountain
2 : 3 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 1
Undy 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Monmouth 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bow Street 0
Llanrwst United 0
Saltney Town 6
Briton Ferry 3
Goytre Utd 1
Caldicot 2
Goytre AFC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Aberdare Town 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 5
Bodedern 1
Carno FC 0
Gresford 4
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Meliden 0
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 0
Llanrug 0
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Rhyl 2
Llanidloes Town 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 0
Corwen 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 4
Machen 3
Rhayader 1
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC -
Prestatyn Sports -
Queens Park 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 2
Cambrian United 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Port Talbot 0
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Gaerwen 1
Holyhead 3
Denbigh 4
STM Sports 5
Afan Lido 2
Cardiff Corries 0
Penydarren 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerphilly 4
Carmarthen Stars 1
Garden Village 3
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 4
Abermule 0
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Caernarfon 5
Porthmadog 3
Penyffordd 0
Mochdre Sports 1
Penley 2
Ton Pentre 2
Cardiff Draconians 1
Abergavenny Town 1
Panteg 3
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Caerau Ely 0
Aberaeron 1
Llanelli 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Penybont 2
Monmouth 1
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Saltney Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Llantwit Major 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Conwy Borough 1
Gresford 5
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Brickfield Rangers 2
Ruthin Town 4
Flint Town 3
Llay Welfare 1
Llandudno Albion 1
Buckley 2
Guilsfield 3
Holywell Town FC 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Bridgend Street 0
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 3
Pencoed 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Haverfordwest 2
Llandudno Junction 3
Denbigh 2
STM Sports 1
Penydarren 2
TNS -
TBD -
Caerphilly 2
Penrhyncoch 4
Barry Town -
TBD -
Berriew FC 1
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 10
Penley 0
Ton Pentre 1
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Bala 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Goytre AFC 2
Ammanford Town 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Llandudno FC 4
Gresford 0
Prestatyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 1
Buckley 0
Guilsfield 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 4
Cwmamman United 3
Cefn Druids 2
Llanrhaeadr 3
Pontypridd United 3
Haverfordwest 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Penydarren 4
TNS 6
Penrhyncoch 0
Barry Town 0
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 7
Panteg 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Llandudno FC 4
Ruthin Town 3
Flint Town 2
Newtown 3
Bangor City 3
Llanrhaeadr 2
Pontypridd United 1
Penydarren 2
TNS 3
Caernarfon 1
Porthmadog 1
Connahs Q. 3
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llandudno FC 0
Newtown 2
Bangor City 7
Penydarren 0
TNS 1
Connahs Q. 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 6
Final
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 4
