Palpites de Esportes
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cerro Largo at 1.07 goals for, 1.14 against; Defensor Sp. at 0.72 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 1 to Defensor Sp.'s 2, with 2 draws. They last met on 22 de ago. de 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Cerro Largo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Defensor Sp. haven't matched Cerro Largo's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Cerro Largo taking it.
- Cerro Largo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Largo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Cerro Largo | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 29 |
| Vitórias | 9 | 6 |
| Empates | 8 | 11 |
| Derrotas | 12 | 12 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.07 | 0.72 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Cerro Largo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Defensor Sp. conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cerro Largo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home)Defensor Sp.
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate Montevideo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Colon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
