Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Chelsea vs Manchester City

Inglaterra Inglaterra

FA Cup Wembley Stadium, London
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

29'
Fernandez E.
32'
Cucurella M.
46'
Sub
Marmoush O. Entra: Cherki R.
Sai: Marmoush O.

Resumo do Jogo

Manchester City in this FA Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

18%
Chelsea
22%
Empates
60%
Manchester City
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Manchester City

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Manchester City lately — more wins on the board than Chelsea.
  • Win probability leans Manchester City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Manchester City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manchester City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Manchester City have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 13%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 6%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71%
Chelsea Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Manchester City Sem Sofrer Gols 20%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Chelsea Manchester City
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 12 19
Empates 3 5
Derrotas 13 5
Gols Marcados 0.63 2.25
Gols Sofridos 1.63 0.63
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.63 2.25
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

16 de mai. de 2026 FA Cup
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0:1
12 de abr. de 2026 Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0:3
4 de jan. de 2026 Premier League
Manchester City vs Chelsea
1:1
25 de jan. de 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Chelsea
3:1
18 de ago. de 2024 Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester City
0:2

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Chelsea Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.48
Média xA / jogo 0.32

Manchester City Comparar

Artilheiro Semenyo A.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 2.05
Média xA / jogo 1.25

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Chelsea 18 / 100
Manchester City 58 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Chelsea Manchester City

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal MCI Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Chelsea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Manchester City has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Chelsea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Chelsea VS Manchester City
0.63 Gols Marcados 2.25
1.63 Gols Sofridos 0.63
63% Mais de 1.5 75%
50% Mais de 2.5 75%
13% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea

(Home)
24 May
Sunderland
2 : 1
Chelsea
19 May
Chelsea
2 : 1
Tottenham
16 May
Chelsea
0 : 1
Manchester City
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
04 May
Chelsea
1 : 3
Nottingham
Page 1 of 6

Manchester City

(Away)
24 May
Manchester City
1 : 2
Aston Villa
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Manchester City
16 May
Chelsea
0 : 1
Manchester City
13 May
Manchester City
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
09 May
Manchester City
3 : 0
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Ipswich-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackpool1
Scunthorpe0
Reading2
Carlisle3
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackburn-
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Port Vale5
Maldon & Tiptree1
Bromley1
Bristol Rovers2
Fleetwood Town2
Barnet1
Luton4
Forest Green3
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Colchester2
Milton Keynes Dons3
Oldham3
Northampton1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oxford Utd-
Everton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Boreham Wood3
Crawley Town0
Newport3
Gillingham2
Brackley3
Notts County2
Burton6
St. Albans0
West Ham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Slough Town2
Altrincham1
Macclesfield6
AFC Totton3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crystal Palace-
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
Tranmere1
Stockport County3
Cambridge Utd3
Chester0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Birmingham-
Derby-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds-
Norwich-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFC Wimbledon0
Gateshead2
Eastleigh0
Walsall3
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth-
Manchester City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Halifax0
Exeter2
Wycombe2
Plymouth0
Salford2
Lincoln City1
Tamworth0
Leyton Orient1
Rotherham1
Swindon2
Bolton2
Huddersfield1
Grimsby3
Ebbsfleet1
Wealdstone1
Southend0
Chelmsford4
Braintree1
Weston-super-Mare2
Aldershot1
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutton2
Telford1
South Shields1
Shrewsbury3
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Peterborough1
Cardiff0
Barnsley3
York City2
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighton-
Stoke City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Fulham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Middlesbrough-
Stevenage0
Chesterfield1
Crewe1
Doncaster2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southampton-
Cheltenham1
Bradford City0
Buxton2
Chatham1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leicester-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Millwall-
Sheffield Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gainsborough1
Accrington2
Mansfield3
Harrogate2
Portsmouth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Preston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wigan2
Hemel Hempstead1
Spennymoor0
Barrow2
1/64-finals
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Ipswich-
TBD-
Blackpool4
Carlisle1
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackburn-
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Port Vale1
Bristol Rovers0
Fleetwood Town3
Luton2
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Milton Keynes Dons3
Oldham1
TBD-
Oxford Utd-
Everton-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Boreham Wood3
Newport0
Brackley1
Burton3
West Ham-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Slough Town1
Macclesfield3
TBD-
Crystal Palace-
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
Stockport County0
Cambridge Utd1
TBD-
Birmingham-
Derby-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds-
Norwich-
TBD-
Gateshead0
Walsall2
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth-
Manchester City-
TBD-
Exeter4
Wycombe0
Salford4
Leyton Orient0
Swindon4
Bolton0
Grimsby4
Wealdstone0
Chelmsford0
Weston-super-Mare2
Wolves-
TBD-
Sutton1
Shrewsbury2
Liverpool-
TBD-
Peterborough0
Barnsley1
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighton-
Stoke City-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Fulham-
TBD-
TBD-
Middlesbrough-
Chesterfield1
Doncaster2
TBD-
Southampton-
Cheltenham6
Buxton2
TBD-
Leicester-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
Millwall-
Sheffield Utd-
TBD-
Accrington2
Mansfield3
Portsmouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Preston-
TBD-
Wigan3
Barrow2
1/32-finals
Wrexham4
Nottingham3
Ipswich2
Blackpool1
Hull City1
Blackburn0
Charlton1
Chelsea5
Port Vale1
Fleetwood Town0
Bristol City5
Watford1
Milton Keynes Dons1
Oxford Utd2
Everton1
Sunderland2
Boreham Wood0
Burton5
West Ham2
QPR1
Macclesfield2
Crystal Palace1
Sheffield Wed0
Brentford2
Cambridge Utd2
Birmingham3
Derby1
Leeds3
Norwich5
Walsall1
Swansea2
West Brom3
Tottenham1
Aston Villa2
Newcastle Utd4
Bournemouth3
Manchester City10
Exeter1
Salford3
Swindon2
Grimsby3
Weston-super-Mare2
Wolves6
Shrewsbury1
Liverpool4
Barnsley1
Manchester United1
Brighton2
Stoke City1
Coventry0
Fulham3
Middlesbrough1
Doncaster2
Southampton3
Cheltenham0
Leicester2
Burnley5
Millwall1
Sheffield Utd3
Mansfield4
Portsmouth1
Arsenal4
Preston0
Wigan1
1/16-finals
Wrexham1
Ipswich0
Hull City0
Chelsea4
Port Vale1
Bristol City0
Oxford Utd0
Sunderland1
Burton0
West Ham1
Macclesfield0
Brentford1
Birmingham1
Leeds2
Norwich3
West Brom1
Aston Villa1
Newcastle Utd3
Manchester City2
Salford0
Grimsby0
Wolves1
Liverpool3
Brighton0
Stoke City1
Fulham2
Southampton2
Leicester1
Burnley1
Mansfield2
Arsenal4
Wigan0
1/8-finals
Wrexham2
Chelsea4
Port Vale1
Sunderland0
West Ham3
Brentford2
Leeds3
Norwich0
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City3
Wolves1
Liverpool3
Fulham0
Southampton1
Mansfield1
Arsenal2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea7
Port Vale0
West Ham2
Leeds3
Manchester City4
Liverpool0
Southampton2
Arsenal1
Semi-finals
Chelsea1
Leeds0
Manchester City2
Southampton1
Final
Chelsea0
Manchester City1