Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Comoros at 0.94 goals for, 1.38 against; Congo at 0.64 for, 1.82 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Comoros. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Look at the last few games and Comoros come out ahead of Congo on wins alone.
- Comoros are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Comoros have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Comoros | Congo |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 32 | 28 |
| Vitórias | 11 | 3 |
| Empates | 4 | 9 |
| Derrotas | 17 | 16 |
| Gols Marcados | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.38 | 1.82 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Congo let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Comoros scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Congo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Comoros has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Comoros
(Home)Congo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 2 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 4 | Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 4 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Central Africa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Liberia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinea Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |