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Congo vs Zambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026
sáb., 22 de mar. de 2025
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Congo host Zambia in the World Championship 2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Congo at 0.64 goals for, 1.82 against; Zambia at 1.11 for, 1.56 against. Past meetings favor Zambia slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 22 de mar. de 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.83, favoring Zambia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

60%
Congo
22%
Empates
18%
Zambia
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Congo

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Congo haven't matched Zambia's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Congo taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 21%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 67%
Congo Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Zambia Sem Sofrer Gols 16%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Congo Zambia
Partidas Jogadas 28 27
Vitórias 3 9
Empates 9 4
Derrotas 16 14
Gols Marcados 0.64 1.11
Gols Sofridos 1.82 1.56
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.94 0.83
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

22 de mar. de 2025 World Championship
Congo vs Zambia
0:3
17 de nov. de 2023 World Championship
Zambia vs Congo
4:2
25 de mar. de 2022 Friendly International
Zambia vs Congo
3:1
27 de mar. de 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Zambia
1:1
23 de mar. de 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Congo
1:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Congo 58 / 100
Zambia 19 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Congo Zambia

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Congo Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Zambia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Zambia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Congo scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Congo VS Zambia
0.5 Gols Marcados 0.5
1.17 Gols Sofridos 1.38
50% Mais de 1.5 50%
17% Mais de 2.5 25%
17% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)
29 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Cameroon
24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0
Congo
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Zambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 10 8 2 0 20:2 26
2 Burkina Faso 10 6 3 1 23:8 21
3 Sierra Leone 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
4 Guinea Bissau 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
5 Ethiopia 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
6 Djibouti 10 0 1 9 5:33 1
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 10 7 3 0 22:3 24
2 D.R. Congo 10 7 1 2 15:6 22
3 Sudan 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Togo 10 1 5 4 5:10 8
5 Mauritania 10 1 4 5 4:13 7
6 South Sudan 10 0 5 5 3:19 5
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
2 Nigeria 10 4 5 1 15:8 17
3 Benin 10 5 2 3 12:11 17
4 Lesotho 10 3 3 4 9:12 12
5 Rwanda 10 3 2 5 5:9 11
6 Zimbabwe 10 0 5 5 5:12 5
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 10 7 2 1 16:8 23
2 Cameroon 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
3 Libya 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
4 Angola 10 2 6 2 9:8 12
5 Mauritius 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
6 Eswatini 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 8 8 0 0 22:2 24
2 Niger 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
3 Tanzania 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
4 Zambia 8 3 0 5 10:10 9
5 Congo 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
6 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 10 8 2 0 25:0 26
2 Gabon 10 8 1 1 22:9 25
3 Gambia 10 4 1 5 27:18 13
4 Kenya 10 3 3 4 18:14 12
5 Burundi 10 3 1 6 13:13 10
6 Seychelles 10 0 0 10 2:53 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 10 8 1 1 24:8 25
2 Uganda 10 6 0 4 14:9 18
3 Mozambique 10 6 0 4 14:17 18
4 Guinea 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
5 Botswana 10 3 1 6 12:16 10
6 Somalia 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia 10 9 1 0 22:0 28
2 Namibia 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
3 Liberia 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Malawi 10 4 1 5 11:10 13
5 Equatorial Guinea 10 3 2 5 8:15 11
6 Sao Tome and Principe 10 1 0 9 5:26 3
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 10 8 1 1 23:6 25
2 Madagascar 10 6 1 3 17:12 19
3 Mali 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
4 Comoros 10 5 0 5 12:13 15
5 Central Africa 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
6 Chad 10 0 1 9 5:24 1
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