Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Croatia vs Gibraltar

World World

World Championship 2026 Gradski stadion Varazdin, Varaždin
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

30' Event
Fruk T.
Assist: Pasalic M.
46'
Sub
Moro N. Entra: Sucic L.
Sai: Moro N.
56' Event
Majer L.
Penalty Missed

Resumo do Jogo

The World Championship 2026 game between Croatia and Gibraltar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

42%
Croatia
20%
Empates
38%
Gibraltar
Projeção de empate: 20% Favorito: Croatia

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

67% / Média de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Croatia come out ahead of Gibraltar on wins alone.
  • Croatia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Croatia have taken 3 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66.6%
Croatia Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Gibraltar Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Croatia Gibraltar
Partidas Jogadas 30 28
Vitórias 17 4
Empates 5 5
Derrotas 8 19
Gols Marcados 1.97 0.61
Gols Sofridos 1.27 2.5
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.88 0.94
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

12 de out. de 2025 World Championship
Croatia vs Gibraltar
3:0
6 de jun. de 2025 World Championship
Gibraltar vs Croatia
0:7
7 de jun. de 2015 Friendly International
Croatia vs Gibraltar
4:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Croatia Comparar

Artilheiro Fruk T.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Sucic L.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.45
Média xA / jogo 0.94

Gibraltar Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.85
Média xA / jogo 0.52

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Croatia 42 / 100
Gibraltar 36 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Croatia Gibraltar

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Croatia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gibraltar has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Croatia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Croatia VS Gibraltar
1.75 Gols Marcados 0.63
1.25 Gols Sofridos 2
88% Mais de 1.5 63%
75% Mais de 2.5 50%
38% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Croatia

(Home)
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
England
4 : 2
Croatia
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

Gibraltar

(Away)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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