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CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup VEB Arena, Moscow
qui., 29 de out. de 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. CSKA Moscow have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Lokomotiv Moscow's 1.47 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor CSKA Moscow slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 22 de ago. de 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring CSKA Moscow. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

30%
CSKA Moscow
39%
Empates
31%
Lokomotiv Moscow
Projeção de empate: 39% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

65% / Média de Confiança
  • CSKA Moscow have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Lokomotiv Moscow are scoring more at 1.47.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Moscow have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 37.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.8%
CSKA Moscow Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Lokomotiv Moscow Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica CSKA Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 11 11
Empates 10 7
Derrotas 9 12
Gols Marcados 1.43 1.47
Gols Sofridos 1.33 1.07
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.69 1.44
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

22 de ago. de 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
4 de ago. de 2026 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
14 de jul. de 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
17 de mai. de 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
21 de fev. de 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

CSKA Moscow 30 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow 30 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
CSKA Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Moscow scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Lokomotiv Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

CSKA Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

CSKA Moscow VS Lokomotiv Moscow
2.13 Gols Marcados 1.75
1.13 Gols Sofridos 1.25
100% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 50%
50% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
18 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1
CSKA Moscow
14 Oct
CSKA Moscow
4 : 0
FK Rostov
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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Lokomotiv Moscow

(Away)
17 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 3
Krasnodar
13 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 2
Akron Togliatti
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 4 3 0 1 13:5 10
2 Orenburg 4 2 0 2 10:8 7
3 Rubin Kazan 4 2 0 2 3:11 4
4 Rodina Moscow 4 1 0 3 9:11 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
2 Krasnodar 4 3 0 1 3:4 7
3 Akhmat Grozny 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 4 1 0 3 4:4 4
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Baltika 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
3 Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 2 0 2 2:3 6
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 4 0 0 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Akron Togliatti 4 3 0 1 2:5 7
3 CSKA Moscow 4 2 0 2 5:4 5
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 4 0 0 4 2:3 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)