Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

CT United FC vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Morrone Stadium, Storrs, CT
dom., 12 de jul. de 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

CT United FC host Toronto FC II in the MLS Next Pro. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. CT United FC have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Toronto FC II's 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor CT United FC slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14 de jun. de 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (2.31 - 1.44) back CT United FC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
CT United FC
6%
Empates
4%
Toronto FC II
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: CT United FC

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Toronto FC II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CT United FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 79%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 79%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.8%
CT United FC Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Toronto FC II Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica CT United FC Toronto FC II
Partidas Jogadas 16 29
Vitórias 8 13
Empates 0 0
Derrotas 8 16
Gols Marcados 2.13 1.5
Gols Sofridos 1.38 2.5
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.13 1.50
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

14 de jun. de 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs CT United FC
2:4
16 de mai. de 2026 MLS Next Pro
CT United FC vs Toronto FC II
0:2

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

CT United FC 84 / 100
Toronto FC II 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
CT United FC Toronto FC II

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal CON Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: CT United FC scored in 88% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Toronto FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

CT United FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

CT United FC VS Toronto FC II
2.13 Gols Marcados 1.5
1.38 Gols Sofridos 2.5
88% Mais de 1.5 100%
75% Mais de 2.5 88%
50% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CT United FC

(Home)
05 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 1
Carolina Core
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4
New York City II
18 Jun
CT United FC
4 : 0
FC Cincinnati 2
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4
CT United FC
08 Jun
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
CT United FC
Page 1 of 4

Toronto FC II

(Away)
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
21 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Toronto FC II
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4
CT United FC
05 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 1
Huntsville City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
4Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County18100832:2729
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
7Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
8Minnesota United 21890925:2926
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)