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D.R. Congo vs Sierra Leone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
qua., 11 de nov. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: D.R. Congo at 1.37 goals for, 0.74 against; Sierra Leone at 1.1 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, D.R. Congo have won 3 to Sierra Leone's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 27 de set. de 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.73, favoring D.R. Congo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

80%
D.R. Congo
11%
Empates
9%
Sierra Leone
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: D.R. Congo

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • D.R. Congo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on D.R. Congo taking it.
  • D.R. Congo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors D.R. Congo here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 16.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 7%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 70.2%
D.R. Congo Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Sierra Leone Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica D.R. Congo Sierra Leone
Partidas Jogadas 35 29
Vitórias 21 7
Empates 4 7
Derrotas 10 15
Gols Marcados 1.37 1.1
Gols Sofridos 0.74 1.59
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.25 0.73
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

27 de set. de 2022 Friendly International
D.R. Congo vs Sierra Leone
3:0
19 de nov. de 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Sierra Leone
3:1
10 de set. de 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs D.R. Congo
0:2

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

D.R. Congo 76 / 100
Sierra Leone 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
D.R. Congo Sierra Leone

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal D.R. Congo Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

D.R. Congo scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Sierra Leone conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: D.R. Congo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

D.R. Congo VS Sierra Leone
1 Gols Marcados 0.83
0.63 Gols Sofridos 1.5
50% Mais de 1.5 50%
25% Mais de 2.5 50%
0% Mais de 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 7

Sierra Leone

(Away)
28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sierra Leone
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)