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Stadium Background

Dumbarton vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
sáb., 24 de out. de 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dumbarton have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.3 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.83 scored and 1.53 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.75, favoring Keith. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Dumbarton
33%
Empates
27%
Keith
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Dumbarton

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Keith have won more games recently than Dumbarton.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • Keith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75%
Dumbarton Sem Sofrer Gols 12%
Keith Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Dumbarton Keith
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 10 17
Empates 3 4
Derrotas 17 9
Gols Marcados 1.33 1.83
Gols Sofridos 2.3 1.53
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.06 1.75
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Dumbarton 38 / 100
Keith 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Dumbarton Keith

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Dumbarton Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Dumbarton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Keith let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dumbarton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Dumbarton VS Keith
2 Gols Marcados 1.38
2.13 Gols Sofridos 2.13
100% Mais de 1.5 88%
100% Mais de 2.5 63%
50% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dumbarton

(Home)
13 Oct
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Dumbarton
10 Oct
Clyde
2 : 1
Dumbarton
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0
Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
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Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
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Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
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