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Eastern AA vs Southern District - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield
sáb., 24 de out. de 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Senior Shield. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Eastern AA have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Southern District's 1.48 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Eastern AA slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18 de jan. de 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.56, favoring Eastern AA. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

60%
Eastern AA
22%
Empates
18%
Southern District
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Eastern AA

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Southern District have won more games recently than Eastern AA.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Southern District arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 87%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 87%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 69%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 31%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.8%
Eastern AA Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Southern District Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Eastern AA Southern District
Partidas Jogadas 30 29
Vitórias 10 11
Empates 5 4
Derrotas 15 14
Gols Marcados 1.67 1.48
Gols Sofridos 2.5 1.72
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.81 2.56
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

18 de jan. de 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
3:1
21 de set. de 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs Eastern AA
1:1
9 de abr. de 2025 Sapling Cup
Southern District vs Eastern AA
1:0
5 de mar. de 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
2:1
8 de fev. de 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Southern District
2:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Eastern AA 56 / 100
Southern District 18 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Eastern AA Southern District

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Eastern AA Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Eastern AA scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Southern District let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Eastern AA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Eastern AA VS Southern District
2.13 Gols Marcados 2.25
2.88 Gols Sofridos 1.5
88% Mais de 1.5 100%
88% Mais de 2.5 100%
88% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
17 Oct
Eastern District
2 : 2
Eastern AA
09 Oct
Eastern AA
1 : 3
North District
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
Page 1 of 6

Southern District

(Away)
19 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Southern District
11 Oct
Southern District
3 : 0
Eastern District
01 Oct
North District
2 : 1
Southern District
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1
Eastern District
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Southern District 2
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Shatin 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
North District -
TBD -
Kowloon City 4
Hong Kong FC 1
Quarter-finals
Tai Po -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
Southern District -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Lee Man Warriors -
North District -
Kowloon City -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -