Palpites de Esportes
Everton vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Inglaterra
EFL Cup Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Everton have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.43 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Everton slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12 de ago. de 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Everton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
80%
11%
9%
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Everton
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
93%
/ Muito Alta de Confiança
- Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Everton a 80% chance of winning this.
- Everton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 76.2%
Everton Sem Sofrer Gols 18%
Newcastle Utd Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Everton | Newcastle Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 28 | 30 |
| Vitórias | 10 | 9 |
| Empates | 9 | 5 |
| Derrotas | 9 | 16 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
12 de ago. de 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
1:3
28 de fev. de 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
2:3
29 de nov. de 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
1:4
25 de mai. de 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
0:1
5 de out. de 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Everton 76 / 100
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Everton Newcastle Utd
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Everton Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Everton scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Everton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tendências de Gols
Everton VS Newcastle Utd
1.38 Gols Marcados 1.75
0.88 Gols Sofridos 1.88
63% Mais de 1.5 88%
38% Mais de 2.5 75%
38% Mais de 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2 Everton
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
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17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
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Newcastle Utd
(Away) 17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
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12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
