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Ghana vs Somalia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
qua., 11 de nov. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Ghana are expected to control this from the start. Somalia have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Ghana have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Ghana slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 19 de nov. de 2003, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.68 xG vs 1.17) point toward Ghana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

31%
Ghana
39%
Empates
30%
Somalia
Projeção de empate: 39% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

65% / Média de Confiança
  • Ghana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Ghana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 6.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 3%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 64.2%
Ghana Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Somalia Sem Sofrer Gols 20%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Ghana Somalia
Partidas Jogadas 29 30
Vitórias 8 3
Empates 7 4
Derrotas 14 23
Gols Marcados 1.17 0.43
Gols Sofridos 1.21 1.77
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.68 1.17
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

19 de nov. de 2003 World Championship
Ghana vs Somalia
2:0
16 de nov. de 2003 World Championship
Somalia vs Ghana
0:5

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Ghana 32 / 100
Somalia 31 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Ghana Somalia

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Somalia Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Somalia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ghana scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Somalia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Ghana VS Somalia
0.5 Gols Marcados 0.71
1.63 Gols Sofridos 0.86
63% Mais de 1.5 43%
25% Mais de 2.5 29%
13% Mais de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ghana

(Home)
29 Sept
Ghana
2 : 4
Gambia
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
England
0 : 0
Ghana
Page 1 of 6

Somalia

(Away)
29 Sept
Somalia
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
25 Sept
Gambia
2 : 1
Somalia
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
26 Nov
Oman
1 : 0
Somalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)