Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Hearts vs Sturm Graz

Europe Europe

Liga dos Campeões da UEFA Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
ter., 28 de jul. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Champions League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sturm Graz have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Hearts have conceded 1 and scored 1.25. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Hearts. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

13%
Hearts
17%
Empates
70%
Sturm Graz
Projeção de empate: 17% Favorito: Sturm Graz

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

88% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sturm Graz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 98%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 87.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.4%
Hearts Sem Sofrer Gols 15%
Sturm Graz Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Hearts Sturm Graz
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 15 12
Empates 5 11
Derrotas 8 6
Gols Marcados 1.25 2.13
Gols Sofridos 1 1.5
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.25 2.13
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Hearts 15 / 100
Sturm Graz 65 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Hearts Sturm Graz

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal STU Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Hearts found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Sturm Graz let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Hearts went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Sturm Graz registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Hearts VS Sturm Graz
1.25 Gols Marcados 2.13
1 Gols Sofridos 1.5
75% Mais de 1.5 100%
63% Mais de 2.5 38%
13% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
10 Jul
Livingston
2 : 1
Hearts
16 May
Celtic
3 : 1
Hearts
13 May
Hearts
3 : 0
Falkirk
09 May
Motherwell
1 : 1
Hearts
04 May
Hearts
2 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)
11 Jul
Sturm Graz
5 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
08 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 1
SC Kalsdorf
03 Jul
Sturm Graz
2 : 2
FC Kosice
30 Jun
Sturm Graz
2 : 6
LNZ Cherkasy
26 Jun
Sturm Graz
5 : 0
Mura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps3
Inter Escaldes1
Tre Fiori0
Larne1
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku2
TNS0
Vardar0
KuPS2
Klaksvik2
Bissen1
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Drita1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia2
Riga FC0
Floriana2
Shamrock Rovers0
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova4
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty2
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora2
Iberia 19993
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti1
KF Egnatia1
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
TBD-
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Final
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