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Hornchurch vs West Ham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. This one's hard to separate. West Ham U21 have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Hornchurch have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.62. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.38, favoring Hornchurch. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than West Ham U21.
- Win probability leans West Ham U21's way, sitting at 60%.
- Hornchurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Hornchurch | West Ham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 27 |
| Vitórias | 16 | 12 |
| Empates | 4 | 6 |
| Derrotas | 9 | 9 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.62 | 1.85 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.24 | 1.7 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 0.56 | 1.38 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Hornchurch found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
West Ham U21 let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Hornchurch went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
West Ham U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Hornchurch
(Home)West Ham U21
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Wealdstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Woking | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 8 | Boston United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |