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Stadium Background

Iran vs China - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
sáb., 9 de jan. de 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. China have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Iran have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor Iran slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24 de jan. de 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward Iran. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Iran
33%
Empates
27%
China
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Iran

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of China on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iran's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Iran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 31.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 14%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 65.8%
Iran Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
China Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Iran China
Partidas Jogadas 29 29
Vitórias 15 9
Empates 7 5
Derrotas 7 15
Gols Marcados 1.66 0.93
Gols Sofridos 0.93 1.59
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.69 0.94
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

24 de jan. de 2019 Asian Cup
China vs Iran
0:3
28 de mar. de 2017 World Championship
Iran vs China
1:0
6 de set. de 2016 World Championship
China vs Iran
0:0
3 de set. de 2010 Friendly International
China vs Iran
0:2
1 de jun. de 2009 Friendly International
China vs Iran
1:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Iran 40 / 100
China 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Iran China

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Iran Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Iran's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

China's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Iran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: China has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Iran VS China
1.75 Gols Marcados 1.13
0.75 Gols Sofridos 1.63
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
50% Mais de 2.5 63%
38% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
Page 1 of 6

China

(Away)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
02 Oct
China
0 : 5
Palestine
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams