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Iraq vs Australia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
qui., 14 de jan. de 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Australia have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while Iraq have conceded 1.4 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Australia slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23 de mar. de 2017, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.69) back Australia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

9%
Iraq
11%
Empates
80%
Australia
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Australia

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Australia come out ahead of Iraq on wins alone.
  • Australia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Australia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Australia have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 19%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 67.8%
Iraq Sem Sofrer Gols 13%
Australia Sem Sofrer Gols 18%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Iraq Australia
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 12 15
Empates 6 7
Derrotas 12 8
Gols Marcados 0.97 1.63
Gols Sofridos 1.4 0.87
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.81 1.69
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

23 de mar. de 2017 World Championship
Iraq vs Australia
1:1
1 de set. de 2016 World Championship
Australia vs Iraq
2:0
18 de jun. de 2013 World Championship
Australia vs Iraq
1:0
16 de out. de 2012 World Championship
Iraq vs Australia
1:2
22 de jan. de 2011 Asian Cup
Australia vs Iraq
1:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Iraq 11 / 100
Australia 76 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Iraq Australia

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Australia Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Iraq scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Australia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Australia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Iraq VS Australia
0.75 Gols Marcados 1.25
2.13 Gols Sofridos 0.88
88% Mais de 1.5 63%
50% Mais de 2.5 25%
25% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq

(Home)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 6

Australia

(Away)
29 Sept
Australia
2 : 4
Brazil
25 Sept
Australia
1 : 1
Brazil
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams